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10
Feb

Bush Legacy: India

   Posted by: Pat   in China

One of President George W. Bush’s greatest successes in international affairs is the institutionalizing of an American partnership with India. From Bush’s earliest days he had kind words to say about what he considered a burgeoning multi-ethnic and multi-cultural democracy in the Indian state and he cemented these ties in the United States-India Nuclear Cooperation Approval and Non-proliferation Enhancement Act, just passed by US Senate and India parliamentary months ago. This Act does much more than create a framework where the two great powers could share nuclear technology and resources. It is a strategic symbol of an alliance that appears to have many bright days ahead.

'I'll do anything to get that Treaty signed!'

'I'll do anything to get that Treaty passed!'

This partnership did not come about without controversy and geopolitical tension, however. The Nuclear Cooperation Act pretty much completely bypassed the Non Proliferation Treaty, which the US was instrumental in creating and still backs mightily, and there are reasonable fears that it could have done irrevocable damage to its future ability to curtail proliferation. That being said, I think this was a wise, realist move by President Bush. India has nuclear weapons and they are not going to give them up. Combine this with the democracy connection and the growing power of China in the region and this looks to me like a sensible balance of power move.

India and the United States share more than just democratic governments and a dependency on customer service telephone operations, they each seek to contain the growing power that is China and equally fear the rise and existence of Islamic extremism. With India on board, the US now has strong relations all around China, ie. Japan, Australia, Philippines, and Indonesia. Some of course are stronger than others. For India, their nuclear program has now been brought out of the shadows and they can feel more secure with a US strategic investment. Regarding Islamic terrorism, though the two great powers (India and the US) may not share every counterterrorism policy choice, they each stand by each others fight, with India helping provide financial resources in Afghanistan and with Secretary of State Condi Rice racing to Mumbai immediately after last years attack to show solidarity.

Bush with India PM Singh

The Bush administration was able to accomplish this growing partnership with New Delhi while at the same time maintaining crucial ties with Pakistan, India’s bitter rival, which was no small feat. Though the war in Afghanistan has gone poorly of late, the past administration should be given props for handling the delicate regional situation rather well in recent years. It is easier said than done to support up one rival’s nuclear capabilities while at the same time working hand and hand with the other. Of course, it has been reported that the US does indeed also work with the Pakistani military on securing their nuclear weapons, though this is done very, very quietly.

There is still much to go over in Bush’s foreign affairs’ disappointments and accomplishments. I really want to tackle the question of Bush the Realist vs. Bush the Idealist. The India-US relations he fostered mainly represent realist notions of the balance of power and security first thinking, but there was also the ‘democratic friends’ aspect as well. What do you think of all this?

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This entry was posted on Tuesday, February 10th, 2009 at 5:41 pm and is filed under China. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Responses are currently closed, but you can trackback from your own site.

6 comments so far

econstudent01
 1 

Agreed that Bush was following a pragmatic realist approach with India all along. I wonder however how a stronger India-US relationship bodes for US-Pakistan relations. Which is more important? Short term definitely Pakistan, but long term definitely India. Also, India is light years ahead of Pakistan in terms of delicious take-out food, and I simply don’t see the Pakistanis making up the curry-gap.

Here’s a “what if” to blow your mind: What happens Pakistan goes to hell and civil war breaks out. What’s India to do? Do they finally grab all of Kashmir? Do they try to secure Pakistani nucs with the U.S., or do they sit it all out?

February 11th, 2009 at 9:18 am
 2 

The Curry gap is indeed significant between these two regional powers. Regarding US-Pakistani/Indian relations, I think it is a bit of a special, yet tenuous at times, relationship between the three. I think that stable relations with the US for both can help sooth tensions during crises as was arguably done after the Mumbai attack. Though it may seem that the Pakistani relationship is more important right now, and it is indeed CRUCIAL, we must not just assume that the US-India is less because of the current stability in that country. If India-US relations started to sour it would constrict US choices in South Asia and even in the Middle East as New Delhi’s presence there is growing rapidly. The India-US economic partnership is also an important, easily forgotten factor. However, Pakistan’s threat to move their military to Kashmir, away from the Afghan border, after the Mumbai attack was a stark warning of how volatile relations can be between all three.
Regarding you scenario. India would probably attempt to work with the US and China to secure Paki’s nukes. I heard that Paki’s nukes even at this moment are in danger of Islamist leaning military officials and scientists. I think the US would swoop in if the Paki government went under.

February 11th, 2009 at 10:33 am
micraig
 3 

By swoop in, do you mean take military action supporting one side or another, or just invade to find WMDs? Or do you refer to something other than military action?

February 11th, 2009 at 12:27 pm
 4 

I was lazy. I mean using their connections with the Pakistani military already to mildly covertly move in to protect nukes. This is pure speculation, but have to think the US government/CIA/military has contingency plans for such an occurrence. Of course, a situation like this occurring would be very, very scary.

February 11th, 2009 at 7:20 pm
 5 

This post has been linked for the HOT5 Daily 2/14/2009, at The Unreligious Right

February 14th, 2009 at 4:32 am
Mel
 6 

Actually there is an other player in this theater, china. As recent as the post mumbai attack political posturing when india was mulling a use of force against milnant camps near lahore ( pak) china has directly intervined and threatened india that on the event of such a strike they will open a eastern front and take over arunachal pradesh. india decided not to strike left with no options fighign on two fronts is still not a possibility for india..

May 31st, 2009 at 12:28 pm